VOA, '±èÁ¤ÀºÀÌ Æ®·³ÇÁ¸¦ ¸¸¸¸ÇÏ°Ô º¸´Â µí'

¹Ì ÀüÁ÷ °ü¸®µé ¡°½Ç¹«Çù»ó, ±èÁ¤ÀºÀÇ ºñÇö½ÇÀû ±â´ë·Î ¹«»ê¡±

 

°ú°Å ºÏÇÑ°úÀÇ Çù»ó¿¡ Âü¿©Çß´ø ¹Ì±¹ÀÇ ÀüÁ÷ °ü¸®µéÀº, ¹Ì-ºÏ ½Ç¹«Çù»óÀÌ °á·ÄµÈ °ÍÀº ±èÁ¤Àº ºÏÇÑ ±¹¹«À§¿øÀåÀÇ ºñÇö½ÇÀû ±â´ë°¨ ¶§¹®À̶ó°í ÁöÀûÇß½À´Ï´Ù. ¶Ç ºÏÇÑÀÌ ¿ÃÇØ ¸»·Î Á¤ÇÑ ¡®½ÃÇÑ¡¯À» »ó±â½ÃÅ°¸ç, ¹Ì»çÀÏ ½ÃÇè¹ß»ç µîÀ» ÅëÇØ ¹Ì±¹¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ¾Ð¹ÚÀ» À̾ °ÍÀ¸·Î Àü¸ÁÇß½À´Ï´Ù. ±è¿µ±³ ±âÀÚ°¡ ÃëÀçÇß½À´Ï´Ù.

·Î¹öÆ® ¾ÆÀÎÈ¥ Àü ±¹¹«ºÎ ºñÈ®»ê∙±ºÃà´ã´ç Ưº¸´Â ºÏÇÑ Çù»ó´ÜÀÌ ºñÇö½ÇÀûÀÎ ±â´ë¸¦ °®°í Çù»ó¿¡ ÀÓÇßÀ» °ÍÀ¸·Î Áø´ÜÇß½À´Ï´Ù.

[³ìÃë: ¾ÆÀÎÈ¥ Àü Ưº¸] ¡°It seems that the North Korean delegation came with unrealistic expectations.¡±

ƯÈ÷ ¡®»õ·Î¿î ¹æ¾È¡¯ Àû¿ë °¡´É¼ºÀ» ³»ºñÄ£ Æ®·³ÇÁ ´ëÅë·ÉÀÇ ¹ß¾ðÀÌ ÀÌ·± ºñÇö½ÇÀûÀÎ ±â´ë¸¦ °®µµ·Ï ¸¸µé¾úÀ» °ÍÀ̶ó°í ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù.

[³ìÃë: ¾ÆÀÎÈ¥ Àü Ưº¸] ¡°It probably developed this unrealistic expectations on the basis of the remark by President Trump that the US was adopting a new method for the talks. The North also probably believes that the Trump administration is very eager for a deal in order to promote President¡¯s hopes for reelection. So I think the North came to Sweden with unrealistic expectations. So I think that probably was most responsible for the impasse that developed.¡±

¶ÇÇÑ ºÏÇÑÀº Æ®·³ÇÁ ÇàÁ¤ºÎ°¡ ´ëÅë·É ¼±°Å ½Â¸®¸¦ À§ÇØ ºÏÇÑ°úÀÇ ÇÕÀǸ¦ ¿­¸ÁÇÏ´Â °ÍÀ¸·Î ¹Ï´Â °Í °°´Ù¸ç, ±×·± ÆÇ´ÜÀÌ Áö±ÝÀÇ ±³Âø »óÅ·ΠÀ̾îÁ³´Ù°í ¾ÆÀÎÈ¥ Àü Ưº¸´Â ºÐ¼®Çß½À´Ï´Ù.

µ¥À̺ñµå ¸Æ½ºÀ£ ¹ÎÁÖÁÖÀǼöÈ£Àç´Ü ¼±ÀÓ¿¬±¸¿ø ¿ª½Ã ±èÁ¤Àº ºÏÇÑ ±¹¹«À§¿øÀåÀÇ ºñÇö½ÇÀûÀÎ ±â´ë°¨À» À̹ø ½Ç¹«Çù»óÀÇ °á·Ä ÀÌÀ¯·Î ²Å¾Ò½À´Ï´Ù.

[³ìÃë: ¸Æ½ºÀ£ ¿¬±¸¿ø] ¡°I think it is really because of Kim Jong-un¡¯s unrealistic expectations of the talks. His team came into the talks demanding concessions, while the US team came to have working level discussions. I think Kim Jong-un was mistaken in believing that the United States wanted a deal more strongly than him.¡±

ºÏÇÑ Çù»óÆÀÀº ¹Ì±¹ Ãø¿¡ ¾çº¸¸¦ ¿ä±¸ÇÏ·Á°í ȸ´ã¿¡ ÀÓÇÑ ¹Ý¸é, ¹Ì±¹ Çù»óÆÀÀº ¡®½Ç¹« Çù»ó¡¯À» Çϱâ À§ÇØ È¸´ã¿¡ ÀÓÇß´Ù´Â °Ì´Ï´Ù.

¸Æ½ºÀ£ ¿¬±¸¿øÀº ¹Ì±¹ÀÌ ºÏÇѺ¸´Ù ´õ Àý½ÇÇÏ°Ô ÇÕÀǸ¦ ¿øÇÏ´Â ÁÙ ¾Ë¾Ò´ø ±èÁ¤ÀºÀÇ ¹ÏÀ½Àº ¿ÀÆÇÀ̶ó°í ÁöÀûÇß½À´Ï´Ù.

°Ô¸® ¼¼À̸ð¾î Àü ¹é¾Ç°ü ´ë·®»ì»ó¹«±â Á¶Á¤°üÀº À̹ø ½Ç¹«È¸´ãÀÌ °á·ÄµÈ °ÍÀÌ ³î¶øÁö ¾Ê´Ù°í ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù.

ºÏÇÑÀº °è¼ÓÇؼ­ ½Ç¹«Çù»óº¸´Ù´Â µµ³Îµå Æ®·³ÇÁ ´ëÅë·É°ú ±èÁ¤Àº À§¿øÀå °£ÀÇ Á¤»óȸ´ãÀ» ¼±È£ÇÏ°í ÀÖ¾ú´Ù´Â °Ì´Ï´Ù.

[³ìÃë: ¼¼À̸ð¾î Àü Á¶Á¤°ü] ¡°I don¡¯t think anybody expected them to make progress. The only surprise, is that, in what I think of a little bit of drama, they decided to make a big announcement that the talks were complete failure.¡±

´Ù¸¸ ´Ü Çϳª ³î¶ó¿ü´ø °Ç ºÏÇÑÀÌ ½Ç¹«È¸´ãÀÌ ¿ÏÀüÇÑ ½ÇÆп´´Ù°í ¹ßÇ¥ÇÑ Á¡À̶ó¸ç, »óȲÀ» ±ØÀûÀ¸·Î °úÀåÇϱâ À§ÇÑ °ÍÀ̶ó°í Ç®ÀÌÇß½À´Ï´Ù.

¼¼À̸ð¾î Àü Á¶Á¤°üÀº ºÏÃø Çù»ó ´ëÇ¥ÀÎ ±è¸í±æ ¿Ü¹«¼º ¼øȸ´ë»ç°¡ Çù»óÀÌ ³¡³­ µÚ ¹Ì±¹À» ºñ³­ÇÑ ¼º¸í¼­¸¦ ³¶µ¶ÇÑ °ÍÀÌ ¹Ì¸® °èȹµÆÀ» °¡´É¼ºµµ Á¦±âÇß½À´Ï´Ù.

[³ìÃë: ¼¼À̸ð¾î Àü Á¶Á¤°ü] ¡°Kim Myong-gil may have been under instructions to stage a very public display of unhappiness unless the US came to the meeting, prepared to accept the Hanoi proposal that Kim Jong-un made to Trump. So, I wouldn¡¯t be at all surprised if this was all thought out beforehand.¡±

±èÁ¤Àº À§¿øÀåÀÌ ÇϳëÀÌ¿¡¼­ Æ®·³ÇÁ ´ëÅë·É¿¡°Ô Á¦¾ÈÇÑ ¿µº¯ ÇÙ ½Ã¼³ Æó±â Á¦¾ÈÀ» À̹ø¿¡µµ ¹Ì±¹ÀÌ ¹Þ¾ÆµéÀÌÁö ¾ÊÀ¸¸é ºÒÄè°¨À» °ø°³ÀûÀ¸·Î µå·¯³»µµ·Ï Áö½Ã ¹Þ¾ÒÀ» °ÍÀ̶ó´Â Áø´ÜÀÔ´Ï´Ù.

¿¡¹Ý½º ¸®ºñ¾î Àü ±¹¹«ºÎ µ¿¾ÆÅ´ã´ç ¼ö¼®ºÎÂ÷°üº¸´Â ÁÖ¸» µ¿¾È Çù»óÀÇ ÁøÇà °úÁ¤À» º¼ ¶§, ºÏÇÑ Çù»óÆÀÀÌ ¹Ì±¹ÀÇ Á¦¾ÈÀ» °ÅÀýÇÏ·Á°í ¹Ì¸® ÀÛÁ¤ÇÏ°í ¿Â °ÍÀ¸·Î º¸ÀÎ´Ù°í ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù.

[³ìÃë: ¸®ºñ¾î Àü ºÎÂ÷°üº¸] ¡°Looking at what happened this weekend, it seems clear from the way the talks played out, that the North Korean delegation came to Stockholm with the intention of hearing the US proposal and rejecting it as unsatisfactory.¡±

óÀ½ºÎÅÍ ¹Ì±¹ÀÇ Á¦¾ÈÀ» µè±â¸¸ ÇÏ°í, ºÒ¸¸Á·½º·´´Ù´Â °ÍÀ» Ç¥¸íÇÒ Àǵµ¿´´Ù´Â °Ì´Ï´Ù.

¸®ºñ¾î Àü ºÎÂ÷°üº¸´Â ºÏÇÑÀÌ °ú°Å¿¡µµ ºñ½ÁÇÑ ¹æ½ÄÀ¸·Î Çù»ó¿¡ ÀÓÇß´Ù°í ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù.

[³ìÃë: ¸®ºñ¾î Àü ºÎÂ÷°üº¸] ¡°That¡¯s the tactic that North Korea has used in the past, to reject the proposal no matter how reasonable it may sound to the United States, to describe it as insufficient, to demand the United States do more or give more at the negotiating table. And of course this is aimed at trying to find out whether Washington will put even more concessions and offers on the table.¡±

ÀÌ°°Àº ¹æ½ÄÀº ¹Ì±¹ÀÌ ¾ó¸¶³ª ¾çº¸ÇÒ Àǻ簡 ÀÖ´ÂÁö È®ÀÎÇϱâ À§ÇÑ ¼ö¹ýÀ̶ó´Â °Ì´Ï´Ù.

¸®ºñ¾î Àü ºÎÂ÷°üº¸´Â ÀÌ ¸ðµç °úÁ¤ÀÌ ºÏÇÑÀÇ Àü·«¿¡ Æ÷ÇÔµÈ °ÍÀ̶ó°í ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù.

[³ìÃë: ¸®ºñ¾î Àü ºÎÂ÷°üº¸] ¡°I think this is all part and parcel of North Korea¡¯s game plan. I think from now on, we can expect North Korea to try various ways to increase pressure on the United States, perhaps by launching additional missiles. Now they¡¯ve gotten some signals the United States and South Korea are not prepared to protest when they do that.

¾ÕÀ¸·Î Ãß°¡ ¹Ì»çÀÏ ½ÇÇè µîÀ» ÅëÇØ ¹Ì±¹¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ¾Ð¹ÚÀ» ´Ã¸®±â À§ÇØ ºÏÇÑÀÌ °®Àº ³ë·ÂÀ» ÇÒ °ÍÀ̶õ ¼³¸íÀÔ´Ï´Ù.

¾Æ¿ï·¯ ¹Ì»çÀÏ ½ÇÇèÀ» Çصµ ¹Ì±¹°ú Çѱ¹ÀÌ Ç×ÀÇÇÏÁö ¾Ê´Â´Ù´Â °ÍÀ» È®ÀÎÇ߱⠶§¹®À̶ó°í µ¡ºÙ¿´½À´Ï´Ù.

¸Æ½ºÀ£ ¿¬±¸¿øÀº ºÏÇÑÀÌ ½Ç¹«È¸´ãÀ» ¸çÄ¥ ¾ÕµÎ°í Àá¼öÇԹ߻çźµµ¹Ì»çÀÏ SLBMÀ» ¹ß»çÇßÀ» ¶§ ÀÌ¹Ì ¡®ºñÇÙÈ­¡¯¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ÁøÁ¤¼ºÀÌ ¾ø´Ù´Â °ÍÀ» º¸¿©Áá´Ù°í ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù.

[³ìÃë: ¸Æ½ºÀ£ ¿¬±¸¿ø] ¡°They are absolutely insincere. That test was few days before these talks. And it demonstrates they want a second-strike nuclear capability, they are working towards it, and it serves two purposes - to support blackmail diplomacy and to support advancing its program. So, yes. That was an indication that North Korea is not sincere about the denuclearization.¡±

ºÏÇÑÀº SLBM ½ÇÇèÀ» ÅëÇØ Çù¹Ú ¿Ü±³¿Í ¹Ì»çÀÏ ±â¼úÀÇ ¹ßÀüÀ̶ó´Â µÎ °¡Áö ¸ñÀûÀ» ¸ðµÎ ´Þ¼ºÇß´Ù´Â ÁöÀûÀÔ´Ï´Ù.

±×·¯¸é¼­ ¸Æ½ºÀ£ ¿¬±¸¿ø ¿ª½Ã ºÏÇÑÀÌ ¹Ì»çÀÏ ½ÇÇèÀ» À̾ °ÍÀ¸·Î ¿¹»óÇß½À´Ï´Ù.

[³ìÃë: ¸Æ½ºÀ£ ¿¬±¸¿ø] ¡°North Korea has been free to test short-range ballistic missiles in rockets.¡±

¾ÆÀÎÈ¥ Àü Ưº¸´Â Æ®·³ÇÁ ´ëÅë·ÉÀÌ ºÏÇÑÀÇ ´Ü°Å¸® ¹Ì»çÀÏ ½ÇÇèÀ» ¹¬ÀÎÇÑ °ÍÀÌ ½Ç¹«È¸´ã¿¡ µµ¿òÀÌ µÇÁö ¾Ê¾Ò´Ù°í ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù.

[³ìÃë: ¾ÆÀÎÈ¥ Àü Ưº¸] ¡°His remarks have essentially given a green light to the North Koreans to conduct missile tests shorter than the ICBM range. Also his remarks conveyed the impression he is prepared overlook various provocations in the hope of getting a deal, that would serve his political objectives.¡±

°á°úÀûÀ¸·Î Æ®·³ÇÁ ´ëÅë·ÉÀº Á¤Ä¡ÀûÀÎ ¸ñÀû¿¡ ºÎÇÕÇÏ´Â ºÏÇÑ°úÀÇ ÇÕÀǸ¦ À̲ø¾î³»±â À§ÇØ, ºÏÇÑÀÌ ICBM¿¡ ¸ø ¹ÌÄ¡´Â ¹Ì»çÀÏÀ» ¹ß»çÇÏ°í °¢Á¾ µµ¹ßÀ» Çصµ ¸øº»Ã´ÇÏ°Ú´Ù´Â ÀÎ»ó¸¸ Áá´Ù´Â °Ì´Ï´Ù.

ÇÏÁö¸¸, ±è¸í±æ ´ë»ç°¡ ȸ´ã Á÷ÈÄ ¹ßÇ¥ÇÑ ¼º¸í¼­¿¡¼­ °æ°íÇÑ °Íó·³, ºÏÇÑÀÌ ½ÇÁ¦·Î ÇÙ¹«±â³ª ´ë·ú°£Åºµµ¹Ì»çÀÏ ICBMÀ» ½ÇÇèÇÏÁö´Â ¾ÊÀ» °ÍÀ¸·Î ¾ÆÀÎÈ¥ Àü Ưº¸´Â ³»´ÙºÃ½À´Ï´Ù.

¡°ÇÙ ½ÇÇè°ú ICBM ½ÃÇè ¹ß»ç ÁßÁö°¡ À¯ÁöµÉ Áö´Â ÀüÀûÀ¸·Î ¹Ì±¹¿¡ ´Þ·Á ÀÖ´Ù¡±´Â ¹ß¾ðÀÌ ¹Ì±¹¿¡ ¾Ð·ÂÀ» °¡Çϱâ À§ÇÑ Çù»ó Àü·«À̶ó´Â °Ì´Ï´Ù.

[³ìÃë: ¾ÆÀÎÈ¥ Àü Ưº¸] ¡°I think that statement was really a negotiating tactic, designed to increase the stakes and increase the pressures on Washington, to reconsider its approach. The North Koreans know that if they resume nuclear testing or flight testing of ICBMs, that would essentially end the negotiation. I don¡¯t think they want to do that. They also know that if they took those provocative steps, they would lose the support of China and Russia.¡±

¶ÇÇÑ ºÏÇÑÀº ÇÙ°ú ICBM ½ÇÇèÀ» °¨ÇàÇϸé, ¹Ì±¹°úÀÇ ´ëÈ­°¡ ¿ÏÀüÈ÷ ²÷±æ °ÍÀÌ°í Áß±¹°ú ·¯½Ã¾Æ·ÎºÎÅ͵µ ÁöÁö¸¦ ¸ø ¹Þ°Ô µÉ °ÍÀ̶ó´Â »ç½ÇÀ» Àß ¾Ë°í ÀÖ´Ù°í ¾ÆÀÎÈ¥ Àü Ưº¸´Â ÁöÀûÇß½À´Ï´Ù.

¾ÆÀÌÈ¥ Àü Ưº¸¿Í ¸®ºñ¾î Àü ºÎÂ÷°üº¸´Â ºÏÇÑÀÌ ¿ÃÇØ ¸»·Î Á¤ÇÑ ¡®´ëÈ­ ½ÃÇÑ¡¯À» »ó±â½ÃÅ°¸é¼­, ¹Ì±¹ÀÇ Á¦¾Èó·³ 2ÁÖ ³»´Â ¾Æ´Ï°ÚÁö¸¸, ¿¬¸» Àü ½Ç¹«Çù»óÀÌ Àç°³µÉ °ÍÀ¸·Î Àü¸ÁÇß½À´Ï´Ù.

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