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¾ÞÄ¿:¹Ì±¹ ±¹¹æºÎÀÇ Á¸ Ç÷³(John Plumb) ¿ìÁÖÁ¤Ã¥ ´ã´ç Â÷°üº¸´Â ºÏÇÑ ¹Ì»çÀÏ À§ÇùÀÌ ±Þ¼ÓÈ÷ Ä¿Áö´Â »óȲ¿¡¼­ ¹Ì±¹Àº ÀÌ¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ¡®¹æ¾î¡¯(defense)¸¦ ³Ñ¾î Æ÷°ýÀûÀ¸·Î ¡®°ÝÅð¡¯(defeat)ÇÏ´Â Á¢±ÙÀ» Ãß±¸ÇÏ°í ÀÖ´Ù°í ¹àÇû½À´Ï´Ù. ÀÌ»ó¹Î ±âÀÚ°¡ º¸µµÇÕ´Ï´Ù.

Ç÷³ Â÷°üº¸´Â 4ÀÏ ¹Ì Àü·«±¹Á¦¹®Á¦¿¬±¸¼Ò(CSIS)°¡ ÁÖÃÖÇÑ ¹Ì±¹ÀÇ ¡®2022 ¹Ì»çÀϹæ¾î°ËÅ亸°í¼­(MDR)¡¯ ³»¿ëÀ» ¼Ò°³ÇÏ´Â ´ë´ãȸ¿¡ Âü¼®Çß½À´Ï´Ù. ±×´Â À̹ø º¸°í¼­´Â ÀÌÀü ¹Ì ÇàÁ¤ºÎµéó·³ ¹Ì±¹Àº ºÏÇÑÀÇ ¹Ì»çÀϷκÎÅÍ ¹Ì º»Å並 ÁöÅ°±â À§ÇØ °è¼Ó ºÏÇÑÀÇ À§Çùº¸´Ù ÇÑ ¹ß ¾Õ¼­ ³ª°¥ °ÍÀ̶ó°í ¹àÈ÷°í ÀÖ´Ù°í ¼Ò°³Çß½À´Ï´Ù.

À̸¦ À§ÇØ ±âÁ¸ÀÇ ¹Ì»çÀÏ ¹æ¾î ¿ª·®À» Çâ»óÇÏ°í »õ·Î¿î ¿ìÁÖ ¹× Áö»ó±â¹Ý°¨ÁöÀåÄ¡ µî ÃֽŠ¿ª·®À» Ãß°¡ÇÒ °ÍÀ̶ó°í ¼³¸íÇß½À´Ï´Ù. À̾î ÃÖ¼Ò 20±âÀÇ Â÷¼¼´ë ¿ä°Ý±â(NGI)°¡ 2028³â ½ÇÀü ¹èÄ¡µÉ ¼ö ÀÖµµ·Ï °³¹ßÇÏ°í ÀÖ´Ù°í ¹àÇû½À´Ï´Ù. ±×·¯¸é¼­ ºÏÇÑÀÇ À§ÇùÀÌ ±Þ¼ÓÈ÷ Ä¿Áö°í º¯È­ÇÔ¿¡ µû¶ó ¹Ì»çÀÏ ¡®¹æ¾î¡¯¸¦ ³Ñ¾î ¹Ì»çÀÏÀ» ¡®°ÝÅð¡¯ÇÏ´Â ¹æÇâÀ¸·Î °¡¾ß ÇÑ´Ù°í °­Á¶Çß½À´Ï´Ù.

Ç÷³ Â÷°üº¸:¹Ì»çÀϹæ¾î°ËÅ亸°í¼­´Â (ºÏÇÑ ¹Ì»çÀÏ À§Çù°ú °ü·ÃÇØ) ¹æ¾î¿¡¸¸ ÀÇÁ¸ÇÏ´Â °ÍÀ» ³Ñ¾î Æ÷°ýÀûÀÎ ¹Ì»çÀÏ °ÝÅð Á¢±ÙÀ» Ãß±¸ÇØ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù´Â °ÍÀ» ¸Å¿ì ºÐ¸íÈ÷ ÇÏ°í ÀÖ½À´Ï´Ù. (MDR is very clear-eyed that we have to increasingly move beyond relying only on active defenses and continue to pursue a comprehensive missile defeat approach.)

¾Õ¼­ Áö³­´Þ 27ÀÏ¿¡ °ø°³µÈ ¹Ì»çÀϹæ¾î°ËÅ亸°í¼­´Â ºÏÇÑÀÇ ¹Ì»çÀÏ ¿ª·®ÀÇ ±Ô¸ð¿Í º¹ÇÕ¼ºÀÌ Áõ°¡ÇÔ¿¡ µû¶ó ¹Ì±¹Àº ÇÙ°ú ºñÇÙÈ­ ¼ö´ÜÀ» ÅëÇØ ºÏÇÑÀÌ ¹Ì»çÀÏÀ» ¹ß»çÇÒ °æ¿ì Ä¡·¯¾ß ÇÒ ´ë°¡¸¦ Å©°Ô ¸¸µå´Â °ÍÀ» º¸Á¶ÀûÀ¸·Î ÇÑ ¡®Æ÷°ýÀûÀÎ ¹Ì»çÀÏ°ÝÅð Á¢±Ù¡¯À¸·Î ¹Ì º»Åä¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ºÏÇÑÀÇ ¹Ì»çÀÏ À§Çùº¸´Ù °è¼Ó ¾Õ¼­ ³ª°¥ °ÍÀ̶ó°í ¹àÇû½À´Ï´Ù. (As the scale and complexity of the Democratic People¡¯s Republic of Korea (North Korea) missile capabilities increase, the United States will also continue to stay ahead of North Korean missile threats to the homeland through a comprehensive missile defeat approach, complemented by the credible threat of direct cost imposition through nuclear and nonnuclear means.)

Ç÷³ Â÷°üº¸´Â À̳¯ Çà»ç°¡ ³¡³­ ÈÄ ÀÌ Á¢±Ù¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ÀÚÀ¯¾Æ½Ã¾Æ½Ã¾Æ¹æ¼Û(RFA)ÀÇ °³º°ÀûÀÎ ºÎ¿¬ ¼³¸í ¿äû¿¡ ¹Ì»çÀÏ ¹ß»ç ÀüÀÎ ¹ß»ç ¿ÞÆí(Left of Launch)»Ó ¾Æ´Ï¶ó ¹ß»ç Á÷ÈÄÀÎ ¹ß»ç ¿À¸¥Æí(Right of Launch)¿¡¼­µµ ÀûÀÇ ¹Ì»çÀÏÀÌ »ç¿ëµÇ´Â °ÍÀ» ¸·´Â °ÍÀ̶ó°í ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù.

Ç÷³ Â÷°üº¸:Æ÷°ýÀû ¹Ì»çÀÏ °ÝÅð Á¢±ÙÀº ¹Ì»çÀÏ ¹ß»ç ¿ÞÆí°ú ¿À¸¥ÆíÀ» ´Ù Æ÷ÇÔÇØ ÇൿÀ» ÃëÇÏÀÚ´Â °Ì´Ï´Ù. ÀÌ°ÍÀº ¹Ì»çÀÏÀ» ¿ä°ÝÇØ Æı«ÇÏ´Â ¿ä°Ý¹æ¾î¸¦ ¸»ÇÏ´Â °ÍÀÌ ¾Æ´Õ´Ï´Ù. (When you say comprehensive feet, I mean to take actions on the left and the right of launch. It's not just an active interceptor active defenses to defeat missile capabilities.)

±×´Â ÀÌ °ÝÅð¿¡ ¾î¶² ¹«±â³ª ±â¼úÀÌ »ç¿ëµÇ´À³Ä´Â ÀÚÀ¯¾Æ½Ã¾Æ¹æ¼Û(RFA)ÀÇ Áú¹®¿£ ÀÛµ¿µÇ´Â °ÍÀº ¹«¾ùÀÌµç »ç¿ëÇÑ´Ù(Anything that might work)°í ´äÇß½À´Ï´Ù. ±×·¯¸é¼­ ÀÌ´Â ÀüÀïÀ̳ª ¹«·Â Ãæµ¹(conflict)½Ã Àû¿ëµÉ °ÍÀ̶ó°í µ¡ºÙ¿´½À´Ï´Ù.
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