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¿¡¹Ý½º ¸®ºñ¾î Àü ±¹¹«ºÎ µ¿¾ÆÅ ´ã´ç ¼ö¼®ºÎÂ÷°üº¸´Â ¡®°­·ÂÇÑ ´ëÀÀ¡¯ÀÇ ÇÙ½ÉÀº ¡°ÇÙ¹«±â¸¦ Ãß±¸ÇÏ´Â °ÍÀÌ Á¤±ÇÀÇ ¾Èº¸¸¦ °­È­ÇÏ´Â °ÍÀÌ ¾Æ´Ï¶ó ¿ÀÈ÷·Á ¾àÈ­½Ãų °ÍÀ̶ó´Â Á÷¼³ÀûÀÎ ¸Þ½ÃÁö¸¦ ºÏÇÑ Á¤±Ç¿¡ º¸³»´Â °Í¡±À̶ó°í °­Á¶Çß½À´Ï´Ù. ±×·¯¸é¼­ ¡°Æò¾çÀº ÇÙ½ÇÇèÀ» ´ÜÇàÇϱ⵵ Àü¿¡ ÀÌ¹Ì ¡®°­·ÂÇÑ ´ëÀÀ¡¯ÀÌ ½ÃÀ۵ǾúÀ½À» È®½ÇÈ÷ ÀÎÁöÇÏ°í ÀÖÀ» °Í¡±À̶ó¸é¼­, ÃÖ±Ù ¹Ì±¹°ú Çѱ¹ÀÌ º¸¿©ÁØ °ü·Ã Á¶Ä¡µéÀÌ ÀÌ·± °­·ÂÇÑ ´ëÀÀÀÇ Åä´ë°¡ µÉ °ÍÀ̶ó°í Áø´ÜÇß½À´Ï´Ù.

[¸®ºñ¾î Àü ¼ö¼®ºÎÂ÷°üº¸]¡°All of this constitutes a blunt message to the North Korean regime that its pursuit of nuclear weapons is not enhancing its security. Rather, it is undermining it.¡¦Whenever the U.S. and the ROK conduct these exercises, the DPRK is compelled to respond. This places a major burden on the KPA, requiring it to expend scarce resources to respond. In doing so, the KPA depletes its own resources, stretches its own forces, loses aircraft and other resources, and is forced into a competition that it cannot hope to win.¡±

¹Ì±¹°ú Çѱ¹ÀÌ ¸î ³â ¸¸¿¡ óÀ½À¸·Î ¹Ì±¹ Ç×°ø¸ðÇÔÀ» µ¿¿øÇØ °øÁß¡¤Çؾç ÈÆ·ÃÀ» ¹ú¿´°í, °ÅÀÇ ºñ½ÁÇÑ ½Ã±â¿¡ ¹ÌÀÏ ¿¬ÇÕÈƷõµ ÁøÇàµÆÀ¸¸ç, B-1B Àü·«Æø°Ý±â°¡ ÅÂÆò¾ç ±¡¿¡ ¹èÄ¡µÆ°í, ¹ÌÇÑ ¾ç±¹ÀÌ ºÏÇÑÀÇ Åºµµ¹Ì»çÀÏ 8¹ß ¹ß»ç¿¡ ´ëÀÀ »ç°ÝÀ» Çß´Ù´Â °ÍÀÔ´Ï´Ù.

ÀÌ¿Í ÇÔ²² ¹ÌÇÑÀÏ 3±¹ÀÌ ¼­¿ï¿¡ ¸ð¿© °­·ÂÇÏ°í ´ÜÇÕµÈ ¸Þ½ÃÁö¸¦ Àü´ÞÇß°í, F-35 µî ÀüÅõ±â 20¿© ´ë°¡ ¹«·Â½ÃÀ§ ºñÇàÀ» ¹úÀÌ¸ç °øÁß Å¸°Ý¿ª·®À» °ú½ÃÇßÀ¸¸ç, À¯¿£ÃÑȸ¿¡¼­´Â Áß±¹°ú ·¯½Ã¾Æ°¡ ¾Èº¸¸® Ãß°¡ ´ëºÏÁ¦Àç¿¡ ´ëÇØ °ÅºÎ±ÇÀ» Çà»çÇÑ ÀÌÀ¯¸¦ ÇظíÇØ¾ß ÇÏ´Â Àü·Ê ¾ø´Â ȸÀǵµ ¿­·È´Ù°í µ¡ºÙ¿´½À´Ï´Ù.

¸®ºñ¾î Àü ¼ö¼®ºÎÂ÷°üº¸´Â ºÏÇÑÀÇ 7Â÷ ÇÙ½ÇÇè ÀÌÈÄ ´ëÀÀÀº ÀÌ °°Àº Á¶Ä¡µéÀ» Åä´ë·Î ÀÌ·ïÁú °ÍÀ̸ç, ¿©±â¿¡ ºÏÇÑ¡¤Áß±¹¡¤·¯½Ã¾Æ ±â°ü µî¿¡ ´ëÇÑ Ãß°¡ Á¦Àçµµ Æ÷Ç﵃ °¡´É¼ºÀÌ ÀÖ´Ù°í ¼³¸íÇß½À´Ï´Ù.

ƯÈ÷ ¹Ì±¹°ú Çѱ¹ÀÌ ¿¬ÇÕÈÆ·Ã ÇÁ·Î±×·¥À» È®´ë °­È­ÇÏ°í ¹Ì±¹ÀÌ Àü¼úÀü·«ÀÚ»êÀÇ Çѹݵµ ¹èÄ¡¸¦ ´Ã¸± °æ¿ì ºÏÇÑ ÁöµµºÎ¿¡ ºÎ´ãÀ» °¡ÁßÇÒ °ÍÀ̶ó°í ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù. ¹ÌÇÑÀÌ ÀÌ·± ÈÆ·ÃÀ» ÇÒ ¶§¸¶´Ù ºÏÇÑÀº ÀÌ¿¡ ´ëÀÀÇÒ ¼ö¹Û¿¡ ¾øÁö¸¸ °¡¿ë Àç¿øÀÌ Ãë¾àÇÑ ºÏÇѱº ÀÔÀå¿¡¼­´Â ¡°½Â¸®¸¦ ±â´ëÇÒ ¼ö ¾ø´Â °æÀï¿¡ ³»¸ô¸®´Â »óȲÀÌ µÉ °Í¡±À̶ó´Â Áø´ÜÀÔ´Ï´Ù. µû¶ó¼­ ¡°¹Ì±¹°ú Çѱ¹ÀÌ ±×µ¿¾ÈÀÇ ¾î¶² Á¢±Ùº¸´Ù ÀÌ·± ¹æÇâÀ» °í¼öÇÒ ¼ö ÀÖ´Ù¸é ºÏÇÑÀÌ ÇÙ ÀÇÁ¸¿¡ ´ëÇÑ °¡Ä¡¸¦ Àç°íÇϵµ·Ï ¸¸µé ¼ö ÀÖÀ» °Í¡±À̶ó°í ¸®ºñ¾î Àü ¼ö¼®ºÎÂ÷°üº¸´Â ÁÖÀåÇß½À´Ï´Ù.

¾Õ¼­ Á¦ÀÌÅ© ¼³¸®¹ø ¹é¾Ç°ü ±¹°¡¾Èº¸º¸Á°üÀº 8ÀÏ ¡°¿ì¸®´Â °è¼ÓµÇ´Â ÇÙ½ÇÇè °¡´É¼ºÀ» ¸Å¿ì ¸é¹ÐÈ÷ ÁÖ½ÃÇÏ°í ÀÖ´Ù¡±¸ç, ºÏÇÑÀÌ ÇÙ½ÇÇèÀ» ´ÜÇàÇÏ¸é ¡°¿ì¸®´Â °­·ÂÇÑ ´ëÀÀÀ» ÇÒ °Í¡±À̶ó´Â ¹æħÀ» ÀçÈ®ÀÎÇß½À´Ï´Ù.

Çѱ¹À» ¹æ¹®ÇÑ À¢µð ¼Å¸Õ ±¹¹«ºÎ ºÎÀå°üµµ Áö³­ 7ÀÏ ºÏÇÑÀÌ ÇÙ½ÇÇèÀ» Çϸé "½Å¼ÓÇÏ°í ´ÜÈ£ÇÑ ´ëÀÀÀÌ ÀÖÀ» °Í"À̶ó¸é¼­ "¹ÌÇÑÀϻӸ¸ ¾Æ´Ï¶ó Àü ¼¼°è°¡ °­·ÂÇÏ°í ºÐ¸íÇÑ ¹æ½ÄÀ¸·Î ´ëÀÀÇÒ °Í"À̶ó°í °­Á¶Çß½À´Ï´Ù.

±º»çÀü¹®°¡ÀÎ ºê·ç½º º£³Ý ·£µå¿¬±¸¼Ò ¼±ÀÓ¿¬±¸¿øÀº ¡°¹Ì±¹Àº ºÏÇÑÀÌ ´ë·ú°£Åºµµ¹Ì»çÀÏ(ICBM) ½ÃÇèÀ» ´ÜÇàÇÏ¸é °­·ÂÇÏ°Ô ´ëÀÀÇÒ °ÍÀ̶ó°í ÇßÁö¸¸ ºÏÇÑ ±èÁ¤Àº À§¿øÀåÀº Áö±Ý±îÁöÀÇ ´ëÀÀÀ» ±×¸® °­·ÂÇÏ°Ô ´À³¢Áö ¾Ê¾ÒÀ» °Í¡±À̶ó°í ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù. ¶ÇÇÑ ¡°ºÏÇÑÀÌ µµ¹ßÇÒ °æ¿ì Ȥµ¶ÇÑ ´ë°¡¸¦ Ä¡¸¦ °ÍÀ̶ó´Â Á¡À» ÃæºÐÇÏ°í ¸íÈ®ÇÏ°Ô ÀνÄÇϵµ·Ï ÇÏ´Â °ÍÀÌ ¾ïÁöÀÇ Çٽɡ±À̶ó°í ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù. ±×·¯¸é¼­ ºÏÇÑÀÌ ÇÙ½ÇÇè¿¡ ³ª¼³ °æ¿ì ¡®°æÁ¦, ±º»ç, Á¤º¸¡¯ 3°¡Áö Ãø¸é¿¡¼­ ¾Ð¹ÚÀ» °­È­ÇÒ °ÍÀ» ÁÖ¹®Çß½À´Ï´Ù.

[º£³Ý ¼±ÀÓ¿¬±¸¿ø] ¡°We probably can't do economic sanctions, at least through the UN because China's not going to support any such actions. Economically, the thing the US could do is to announce that South Korean and US naval forces are going to move up into the West Sea and move up opposite of the Nampo area and intercept any North Korean ships carrying coal.¡±

º£³Ý ¿¬±¸¿øÀº Áß±¹ÀÇ ¹Ý´ë µîÀ¸·Î À¯¿£ ¾Èº¸¸®¸¦ ÅëÇÑ Ãß°¡ °æÁ¦ Á¦Àç´Â ½±Áö ¾ÊÀ» °ÍÀ̶ó¸ç, ¹Ì±¹°ú Çѱ¹ÀÌ °æÁ¦Àû ¾Ð¹ÚÀ» °¡ÇÒ ¼ö ÀÖ´Â ½ÇÁúÀûÀÎ Á¶Ä¡¿¡ ³ª¼³ ÇÊ¿ä°¡ ÀÖ´Ù°í ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù. ±¸Ã¼ÀûÀ¸·Î´Â µÎ ³ª¶ó°¡ ÇرºÀ» ºÏÇÑ ³²Æ÷ Áö¿ª ÁÖº¯ µî ¼­ÇØ ÇØ»ó¿¡ ¹èÄ¡ÇØ À¯¿£ ¾Èº¸¸®°¡ ±ÝÁöÇÑ ¼®Åº ¼öÃâ¿¡ °ü¿©ÇÏ´Â ºÏÇÑ ¼±¹ÚÀ» Â÷´ÜÇÏ´Â Á¶Ä¡¸¦ ¹ßÇ¥ÇÒ ¼ö ÀÖ´Ù°í ¼³¸íÇß½À´Ï´Ù. ÀÌ¾î ±º»ç Á¶Ä¡·Î´Â ºÏÇÑ ÁÖº¯ »ó°ø¿¡¼­ ¹Ì±¹ Á¤Âû±âÀÇ Á¤±âÀûÀÎ Á¤Âû È°µ¿À» Á¦¾ÈÇߴµ¥, À̸¦ ÅëÇØ ½ÇÁúÀûÀÎ Á¤º¸¸¦ ȹµæÇϸ鼭 ºÏÇÑ ÁöµµºÎ¸¦ ºÒÆíÇÏ°Ô ¸¸µé ¼ö ÀÖ´Ù°í ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù.

º£³Ý ¿¬±¸¿øÀº ´ëºÏ Á¤º¸À¯ÀÔ È°µ¿ °­È­µµ ¡®°­·ÂÇÑ ´ëÀÀ¡¯ Á¶Ä¡·Î ²Å¾Ò½À´Ï´Ù. ƯÈ÷ Çѱ¹ À½¾Ç°ú µå¶ó¸¶, ´º½º µîÀ» ´ãÀº À̵¿½ÄÀúÀåÀåÄ¡(USB)¸¦ µå·ÐÀ» ÅëÇØ Æò¾ç±îÁö À¯ÀÔµÇ°Ô ÇÒ ÇÊ¿ä°¡ ÀÖ´Ù¸ç, Àüü À¯ÀÔ·®ÀÇ ¾à 5%¸¸ÀÌ¶óµµ ºÏÇÑ ¿¤¸®Æ®Ãþ¿¡ ³ëÃâµÈ´Ù¸é ºÏÇÑ ÁöµµºÎ¿¡ Å« Ÿ°ÝÀ» ÁÙ °ÍÀ̶ó°í º£³Ý ¼±ÀÓ¿¬±¸¿øÀº ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù.

Çѹ̿¬ÇÕ»ç ÀÛÀüÂü¸ð¸¦ Áö³½ µ¥À̺ñµå ¸Æ½ºÀ£ ¹ÎÁÖÁÖÀǼöÈ£Àç´Ü(FDD) ¼±ÀÓ¿¬±¸¿øÀº Àü·«ÀÚ»ê ¹èÄ¡, Áغñż¼¡¤¾ïÁö·Â¡¤¹æÀ§·Â °ü·Ã ±º»ç È°µ¿À» °Å·ÐÇß½À´Ï´Ù. ±×·¯¸é¼­ ÀÌ·± ¸ðµç È°µ¿Àº ¡°±èÁ¤Àº¿¡ ´ëÇÑ À¯È­Á¤Ã¥Àº ¾øÀ» °ÍÀÌ¸ç ºÏÇÑ Á¤±ÇÀÇ Á¤Ä¡Àü Àü·«°ú Çù¹Ú ¿Ü±³´Â ÅëÇÏÁö ¾ÊÀ» °ÍÀ̶ó´Â ¸Þ½ÃÁö¸¦ Áش١±°í ¼³¸íÇß½À´Ï´Ù. ÀÌ¿Í ÇÔ²² ¡°±èÁ¤ÀºÀÌ °¡Àå µÎ·Á¿öÇÏ´Â °ÍÀº ºÏÇÑ ÁֹεéÀÌ Á¤º¸·Î ¹«ÀåµÇ´Â °Í¡±À̶ó¸ç Á¤º¸Àü È®´ë¸¦ Á¦¾ÈÇß½À´Ï´Ù.

[¸Æ½ºÀ£ ¼±ÀÓ¿¬±¸¿ø]¡°He fears the Korean people living in the North and he fears them armed with information. So information is an existential threat to the regime, and the regime has done everything it can to prevent information flow. We need to use all means necessary to expose the evil nature of Kim Jong un to the Korean people living in the North¡±

¡°Á¤º¸´Â üÁ¦¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ½ÇÁúÀû À§ÇùÀ¸·Î ºÏÇÑ Á¤±ÇÀº Á¤º¸ À¯ÅëÀ» Â÷´ÜÇϱâ À§ÇØ ÇÒ ¼ö ÀÖ´Â ¸ðµç Á¶Ä¡¸¦ ÇÏ°í ÀÖ´Ù¡±´Â ¼³¸íÀÔ´Ï´Ù. ±×·± ¸¸Å­ ¡°ºÏÇÑ Áֹε鿡°Ô ºÏÇÑ Á¤±ÇÀÇ »ç¾ÇÇÑ º»ÁúÀ» Æø·ÎÇÏ´Â µ¥ ÇÊ¿äÇÑ ¸ðµç ¼ö´ÜÀ» µ¿¿øÇØ¾ß ÇÒ ÇÊ¿ä°¡ ÀÖ´Ù¡±¸ç, ƯÈ÷ ¡°ºÏÇÑ ÁֹεéÀÌ ÀڽŵéÀÇ °íÅëÀÇ ¿øÀÎÀÌ ÇÙ°ú ¹Ì»çÀÏ ÇÁ·Î±×·¥À» ¿ì¼±½ÃÇÏ´Â ºÏÇÑ Á¤±ÇÀÇ °íÀÇÀû °áÁ¤ ¶§¹®À̶ó´Â »ç½ÇÀ» ¾Ë¾Æ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù¡±°í ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù.

Á¤º¸À¯ÀÔ ¼ö´ÜÀ¸·Î´Â ¡®¹Ì±¹ÀÇ ¼Ò¸®(VOA)¡¯¿Í ¡®ÀÚÀ¯¾Æ½Ã¾Æ¹æ¼Û(RFA)¡¯ µî ´ëºÏ¹æ¼ÛÀ» ºñ·ÔÇØ ¾à 650¸¸¿© ¸íÀÌ »ç¿ëÇÏ°í ÀÖ´Â ÈÞ´ëÀüÈ­ µîÀ» È°¿ëÇÒ °ÍÀ» Á¦¾ÈÇß½À´Ï´Ù. ±×·¯¸é¼­ ¡°ÀÌ·± ¾Ð¹ÚÀ» ÅëÇØ ±èÁ¤ÀºÀº ¼±ÀÇ¿Í ÇÔ²² Çù»ó¿¡ ÀÓÇØ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù´Â °á·Ð¿¡ À̸£°Å³ª, ¾Æ´Ï¸é ºÏÇÑ ¿¤¸®Æ®¿Í Áֹε鿡 ÀÇÇØ ¸ô¶ôÇÏ°Ô µÉ °Í¡±À̶ó°í ÁÖÀåÇß½À´Ï´Ù.

¹é¾Ç°ü ±¹°¡¾Èº¸È¸ÀÇ(NSC)¿Í Áß¾ÓÁ¤º¸±¹(CIA)¿¡¼­ ºÏÇÑ ¹®Á¦¸¦ ´Ù·ð´ø ¼ö¹Ì Å׸® ¿ìµå·ÎÀª½¼¼¾ÅÍ ¾Æ½Ã¾Æ ÇÁ·Î±×·¥ ±¹ÀåÀº ¡®À§Çù °¨¼Ò¡¯¿¡ ÃÊÁ¡À» ¸ÂÃá ´Ü±âÀü·«°ú ºÏÇÑ ³»ºÎ¿¡ ÃÊÁ¡À» ¸ÂÃá Àå±âÀü·«À¸·Î ´ëÀÀÇØ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù°í ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù.

[ Å׸® ±¹Àå]¡°This means we have to increase pressure on North Korea while still leaving door open to diplomacy. We can ratchet up sanctions¡¦We can deploy more sophisticated US-South Korean strike capabilities and more robust US doing exercises in some while we unlikely to be able to turn the clock on North Korea's nuclear program, we can reduce the threat in the short term, while having a long-term strategy to help North Korean people through public diplomacy and information penetration, Campaign to support internal domestic change in the North.¡±

ºÏÇÑ°ú ´ëÈ­ÀÇ ¹®À» ¿­¾î ³õÁö¸¸ Á¦À縦 °­È­ÇÏ°í, ¾ïÁö·ÂÀ» °³¼±Çϸç, ¹ÌÇÑÀÏ 3±¹ÀÇ Á¤º¸¡¤¹æÀ§ Çù·ÂÀ» ¸ð»öÇÏ°í, ´õ¿í Á¤±³ÇÑ Å¸°Ý ¿ª·®À» °®Ãá ¹«±â¸¦ ¹èÄ¡Çϸç, °­·ÂÇÑ ¿¬ÇÕÈÆ·ÃÀ» ½Ç½ÃÇÒ ÇÊ¿ä°¡ ÀÖ´Ù´Â °ÍÀÔ´Ï´Ù. Å׸® ±¹ÀåÀº ÀÌ·± Á¶Ä¡µé·Î ºÏÇÑÀÇ ÇÙ ÇÁ·Î±×·¥ ½Ã°è¸¦ µ¹·Á³õÁö´Â ¸øÇÏÁö¸¸ ´Ü±âÀûÀ¸·Î À§ÇùÀ» °¨¼ÒÇÒ ¼ö ÀÖ´Ù°í ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù. ¾Æ¿ï·¯ °ø°ø¿Ü±³¿Í Á¤º¸À¯ÀÔ, ºÏÇÑ ³»ºÎ º¯È­¸¦ Áö¿øÇÏ´Â ¿îµ¿ µîÀ» ÅëÇØ ºÏÇÑ ÁֹεéÀ» Áö¿øÇÏ´Â Àå±âÀü·«µµ ÇÊ¿äÇÏ´Ù°í Å׸® ±¹ÀåÀº µ¡ºÙ¿´½À´Ï´Ù.

ÇÑÆí ¹Ì±¹ Çرº ÅÂÆò¾ç»ç·É°ü Ãâ½ÅÀÎ Çظ® Çظ®½º Àü ÁÖÇѹ̱¹´ë»ç´Â ¡°ºÏÇÑÀÇ ÇÙ½ÇÇèÀº ÆòÈ­¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ÀÛÀº Èñ¸Á¸¶Àú »ê»êÁ¶°¢ ³¾ °Í¡±À̶ó°í ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù. ±×·¯¸é¼­ ¡°¹Ì±¹°ú Çѱ¹Àº ¾ßÀü°ú ½Ã¹Ä·¹ÀÌ¼Ç ¸ðµÎ¿¡¼­ ¡®°­·ÂÇÑ ÈƷá¯À» ÅëÇØ ºÏÇÑÀÇ À§Çù¿¡ ´ëÀÀÇÏ´Â ¿¬ÇÕ Áغñż¼¸¦ °­È­Çϱâ À§ÇÑ ÃÖ±ÙÀÇ ³ë·ÂÀ» Áö¼ÓÇÏ¸ç ¹ÚÂ÷¸¦ °¡ÇØ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù¡±°í °­Á¶Çß½À´Ï´Ù.

[Çظ®½º Àü ´ë»ç]¡°A nuclear test by the North would dash any residual hopes of peace. I do believe the U.S. and South Korea must continue and elevate recent efforts to increase their combined readiness to respond to threats from North Korea through robust exercises, both in the field and in simulation. Much has to be done to recover the readiness that was lost over the past several years in the naive hopes that reducing joint military exercises would somehow encourage North Korea to return to the negotiating table and become a productive member of the family of nations.¡±

Çظ®½º Àü ´ë»ç´Â ÀÌ¾î ¡°ÈÆ·ÃÃà¼Ò°¡ ºÏÇÑÀÌ Çù»ó Å×À̺í·Î µ¹¾Æ°¡ ±¹Á¦»çȸÀÇ »ý»êÀûÀÎ ÀÏ¿øÀÌ µÇµµ·Ï ¾î¶»°Ôµç µ¶·ÁÇÒ °Í¡±À̶ó´Â »ý°¢Àº ¡°¼øÁøÇÑ Èñ¸Á¡±À̶ó°í ºñÆÇÇß½À´Ï´Ù. ±×·¯¸é¼­ ¡°Áö³­ ¸î ³â°£ »ó½ÇµÈ Áغñż¼¸¦ ȸº¹Çϱâ À§Çؼ­´Â ¸¹Àº ÀÏÀ» ÇØ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù¡±°í °­Á¶Çß½À´Ï´Ù.
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