Kim family saga: third and final act ¨ç

North Korea's dictator is on the way out take aim at his successor
Banyan
78. Kim family saga: third and final act
Jun 18th 2009 From The Economist print edition

North Korea's dictator is on the way out take aim at his successor

78-1-371

BRUTAL, pot-bellied and unpredictable: the same adjectives are always together on the larder shelf when editorial writers describe Kim Jong Il. But how helpful are they any more? There's no quibbling over Mr Kim's brutality. He runs his country like a gulag, and a Kim-made famine killed a twentieth of the population in the 1990s. As for pot-bellied, the description no longer holds, since, after a presumed stroke last summer, the Dear Leader looks frail, and as gaunt as his underfed subjects.
And unpredictable? The word has always been unhelpful, for it misses how foreseeably Mr Kim's Communist dynasty has blackmailed the outside world, defying the odds and the end of the cold war to cling to power. The notion of unpredictability is based on the tantrums North Korea throws. The latest began earlier this year with bellicose rhetoric, missiles and, last month, a presumed nuclear explosion (though spooks are puzzled at the lack of radiation, and wonder if this was simply a mountain-full of TNT). Yet ever since the North's push for a nuclear capability caused increasing concern in the early 1990s these hissy fits have been routine. Each time North Korea has cranked up the tension only to try to exploit it, usually by returning to multilateral negotiations on better terms more aid goodies and respect.

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underfed Á¦´ë·Î ¸ÔÁö ¸øÇÏ´Â. subject ÛÝàó(¹é¼º).
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defying the odds °­Àû¿¡ ÀúÇ×Çϸ鼭, ¹«¸ðÇÏ°Ô ¹ÝÇ×Çϸ鼭.
to cling to power ±Ç·Â¿¡ ÁýÂøÇϱâ À§ÇÏ¿©. notion »ý°¢.
unpredictability ¿¹ÃøºÒ°¡´É¼º. tantrum ¹ß²ö È­³»±â. bellicose û¿îúîÜ(È£ÀüÀû)ÀÎ.
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spook Á¤º¸±¹¿ø, À¯·É. capability ´É·Â. hissy ½¬ ¼Ò¸®¸¦ ³»´Â. fit ¹ßÀÛ.
crank up (Å©·©Å©¸¦ µ¹·Á) ¿£ÁøÀ» °É´Ù. tension ±äÀå. exploit ÀÌ¿ëÇÏ´Ù, ÂøÃëÇÏ´Ù.
multilateral ¿©·¯ ³ª¶ó°¡ Âü¿©ÇÏ´Â. ÒýÜ«(´Ùº¯)ÀÇ. negotiations Çù»ó.
terms Á¶°Ç. goodies °úÀÚ.

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With the latest nuclear test, Mr Kim has raised the stakes higher than usual. To many that belongs to the familiar wearisome pattern of abuse. President Barack Obama, who has yet to articulate a North Korean policy, has begun to talk of the country as if it were an ill-behaved toddler that should not be rewarded for bad behaviour. Robert Gates, his defence secretary, says that America is "tired of buying the same horse twice". President Lee Myung-bak of South Korea has reversed his predecessors'"sunshine policy" of unconditional aid. Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me again (and again), shame on me.
Yet now a growing band of North Korea-watchers, even in China, divines a new unpredictability which, they say, is more disturbing than the tired old blackmail. This band says North Korea no longer intends to return to the table. After the United Nations Security Council imposed fresh sanctions on June 12th, as punishment for the nuclear test, the North said it would not just make more plutonium bombs, but enrich uranium too. Unlike earlier bellicosity, today's rhetoric lacks calibration. When North Korea now says it does not mean to give up its bid to be a nuclear-weapons power, blimey, perhaps it means it. This week Mr Lee was in Washington to seek Mr Obama's reassurance that South Korea sits under American protection, and to make it clear that neither country would accept North Korea as a nuclear state.

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the United Nations Security Council À¯¿£ ¾ÈÀüº¸ÀåÀÌ»çȸ.
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power Ë­ÏÐ(°­±¹). reassurance î¢ÜÁñû(À纸Áõ). protection º¸È£.

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