CSIS ¡°Ú¸¡¤ìí, G7¿¡ Çѱ¹ Æ÷ÇÔ½ÃÄѾߡ¦ùÛ¡¤ìí ±¹¹æ°ü°è Á¤»óÈ­µµ Çʿ䡱

Á¸½ºÅæ ¼®Á "Áß±¹°ú ºÏÇÑ À§ÇùÀ» °í·ÁÇÒ ¶§ ¾Æ½Ã¾Æ¸¦ ÇϳªÀÇ ÅëÇÕµÈ Àü±¸(îúÏ¡)·Î »ý°¢Çؾß"
¹Ì±¹°ú ÀϺ»ÀÌ µ¿¸Í °ü°è¸¦ ¹ßÀü½ÃÅ°±â À§ÇØ Çѱ¹°úÀÇ °æÁ¦, ¾Èº¸ Çù·ÂÀ» °­È­ÇØ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù°í ¹Ì±¹ ¹Î°£¿¬±¸¼Ò°¡ ±Ç°íÇß½À´Ï´Ù. ÁÖ¿ä 7°³±¹(G7)¿¡ Çѱ¹À» Æ÷ÇÔ½ÃÅ°°í ÇÑÀÏ ±¹¹æ°ü°èµµ Á¶¼ÓÈ÷ Á¤»óÈ­ÇÒ °ÍÀ» Á¦¾ÈÇß½À´Ï´Ù. Á¶ÀºÁ¤ ±âÀÚ°¡ º¸µµÇÕ´Ï´Ù.

¿ö½ÌÅÏÀÇ ¹Î°£ ¿¬±¸¼ÒÀÎ Àü·«±¹Á¦¹®Á¦¿¬±¸¼Ò(CSIS)´Â 4ÀÏ ¹ÌÀÏ µ¿¸Í ¹ßÀü ¹æ¾È º¸°í¼­¿¡¼­ Çѱ¹°úÀÇ Çù·Â È®´ë¸¦ Ã˱¸Çß½À´Ï´Ù. ¸®Ã³µå ¾Æ¹ÌƼÁö Àü ±¹¹«ºÎ ºÎÀå°ü°ú Á¶¼Á ³ªÀÌ ÇϹöµå´ë ±³¼ö°¡ CSIS Àü¹®°¡µé°ú ÇÔ²² ÁýÇÊÇÑ ÀÌ º¸°í¼­´Â ¡°ÀϺ»ÀÌ Àå°Å¸® ¹Ý°Ý ¼ö´ÜÀ» Æ÷ÇÔÇÑ ¹æ¾î ¿ª·®À» ºü¸£°Ô È®ÀåÇÏ´Â »óȲ¿¡¼­ ¹ÌÀϵ¿¸Í°ú ¹ÌÇѵ¿¸ÍÀ» ¿¬°áÇÒ Çʿ伺ÀÌ ±× ¾î´À ¶§º¸´Ù Å©´Ù¡±°í ¹àÇû½À´Ï´Ù.

[º¸°í¼­]¡°With Japan rapidly moving to expand defense capabilities, including long-range counterstrike, the need for connective tissue between the U.S.-Japan and the U.S.-ROK alliances is greater than ever before. Following the Camp David meetings in August 2023, structures of trilateral dialogue at the strategic level are in place. The allies should now move to establish formal connections at the operational level, including through exchanges of liaison officers at respective commands, the inclusion of observers at bilateral exercises, and the establishment of a trilateral contingency planning cell.¡±

º¸°í¼­´Â ¡°2023³â 8¿ù Ä·ÇÁ µ¥À̺ñµå ¹ÌÇÑÀÏ 3±¹ Á¤»óȸÀÇ ÀÌÈÄ Àü·«Àû Â÷¿øÀÇ 3±¹ ´ëÈ­ ±¸Á¶°¡ ¸¶·ÃµÆ´Ù¡±¸ç ÈÄ¼Ó Á¶Ä¡¸¦ Á¦¾ÈÇß½À´Ï´Ù. ƯÈ÷ 3±¹ÀÌ °¢ »ç·ÉºÎ¿¡ ¿¬¶ôÀå±³¸¦ ÆÄ°ßÇÏ°í ¹ÌÀÏ°ú ¹ÌÇÑÀÇ ¾çÀÚ ÈÆ·ÃÀ» ¼­·Î Âü°üÇϸç 3ÀÚ Â÷¿ø¿¡¼­ À¯»ç½Ã ´ëºñż¼¸¦ °èȹÇÏ´Â Á¶Á÷À» ¼³Ä¡ÇØ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù°í ±Ç°íÇß½À´Ï´Ù. ±×·¯¸é¼­ À̸¦ µÞ¹ÞħÇϱâ À§ÇØ ¡°ÀϺ»°ú Çѱ¹ÀÌ »ç»ó ÃÖÃÊÀÇ °øµ¿ ¾Èº¸ ¼±¾ðÀ» ÅëÇØ ¾ç±¹ ±¹¹æ °ü°è¸¦ ½Å¼ÓÈ÷ Á¤»óÈ­ÇØ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù¡±°í ¹àÇû½À´Ï´Ù.

º¸°í¼­´Â ÀϺ»°ú È£ÁÖÀÇ 2007³â ¾Èº¸ Çù·Â °øµ¿¼±¾ðÀÌ ¼±·Ê°¡ µÉ ¼ö ÀÖ´Ù¸ç, °øµ¿ °ü½É»ç¿Í Çù·Â ºÐ¾ß¸¦ ¸í½ÃÇßÁö¸¸ ±¸¼Ó·ÂÀº ¾ø´Â Á¤Ä¡Àû ¼±¾ðÀ̶ó°í ¼³¸íÇß½À´Ï´Ù. º¸°í¼­´Â Çѱ¹, È£ÁÖ, Çʸ®ÇÉ, ŸÀÌ¿Ï°úÀÇ ¿¬°è¸¦ ½ÉÈ­ÇÏ´Â µ¿½Ã¿¡ ¹ÌÀÏ µ¿¸ÍÀÇ ±º ÁöÈÖÅëÁ¦¸¦ Çö´ëÈ­ÇÏ°í, ÀϺ»ÀÇ Á¤º¸ ºÐ¼®°ú »çÀ̹ö º¸¾ÈÀ» °­È­ÇÏ¸ç ¹ÌÀÏ ¾ç±¹ÀÇ ¹æÀ§»ê¾÷ ±â¼ú Çù·Â¿¡ ¿ì¼±¼øÀ§¸¦ µÑ °ÍÀ» Á¦¾ÈÇß½À´Ï´Ù.

°æÁ¦ºÐ¾ß¿¡¼­´Â ¹Ì±¹°ú ÀϺ»ÀÌ Áß±¹ÀÇ °­¾ÐÀûÀÌ°í ºÒ°øÁ¤ÇÑ °üÇà¿¡ ¸Â¼­ ÇÙ½É ±â¼úÀ» º¸È£ÇÏ°í °ø±Þ¸Á ȸº¹·ÂÀ» °­È­Çϸç ÁÖ¿ä Àü·« ºÎ¹®¿¡¼­ Çù·ÂÇÒ °ÍÀ» Á¦¾ÈÇß½À´Ï´Ù. ƯÈ÷ ¹ÌÀÏÀÌ ÁÖ¿ä 7°³±¹(G7)¿¡ Çѱ¹°ú È£ÁÖ¸¦ Ãß°¡ÇÏ´Â ¹æ¾ÈÀ» ÃßÁøÇØ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù°í ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù. G7ÀÌ ¿ìÅ©¶óÀ̳ª Áö¿ø°ú Áß±¹ÀÇ °æÁ¦Àû °­¾Ð¿¡ ´ëÀÀÇÏ´Â µî ±ÔÄ¢¿¡ ±â¹ÝÇÑ ±¹Á¦Áú¼­¸¦ À¯ÁöÇÏ´Â ³ë·ÂÀ» ÁÖµµÇÏ´Â ±¹Á¦ ÇùÀÇü·Î ºÎ»óÇÑ °¡¿îµ¥ °°Àº ¸¶À½À» °¡Áø ±¹°¡µéÀ» °¡ÀÔ½Ãų ÇÊ¿ä°¡ ÀÖ´Ù´Â °ÍÀÔ´Ï´Ù.

[º¸°í¼­]¡°The United States and Japan should consider G7 expansion to include Australia and South Korea, the world¡¯s next two largest advanced democracies and partners that are increasingly critical to global political and economic responses.¡±

º¸°í¼­´Â ¡°¹Ì±¹°ú ÀϺ»Àº ¼¼°èÀûÀ¸·Î ºÎ»óÇÏ´Â ¼±Áø ¹ÎÁÖÁÖÀÇ ±¹°¡ÀÌÀÚ ±¹Á¦ Á¤Ä¡¿Í °æÁ¦ ´ëÀÀ¿¡¼­ Á¡Á¡ ´õ Áß¿äÇÑ ¿ªÇÒÀ» ¸ÃÀº µÎ ±¹°¡ÀΠȣÁÖ¿Í Çѱ¹À» Æ÷ÇÔÇϵµ·Ï G7À» È®´ëÇÏ´Â ¹æ¾ÈÀ» °í·ÁÇØ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù¡±°í Á¦¾ÈÇß½À´Ï´Ù. ±×·¯¸é¼­ ¡°ÀÌ°ÍÀº ÀÚ¼±ÀÌ ¾Æ´Ï¸ç ¿À´Ã³¯ ±¹Á¦Àû µµÀüÀ» °í·ÁÇÒ ¶§ ÀÇ¹Ì ÀÖ´Â ¿ª·®°ú ÀÏÄ¡µÈ °ßÇظ¦ °¡Áø Ãß°¡ÀûÀÎ ¸ñ¼Ò¸®¸¦ Âü¿©½ÃÄÑ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù¡±°í ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù.

º¸°í¼­ °øµ¿ÀúÀÚÀÎ Å©¸®½ºÅäÆÛ Á¸½ºÅæ CSIS ÀϺ» ¼®Á´ 5ÀÏ VOA¿¡ Çѱ¹ÀÌ G7¿¡ °¡ÀÔÇÒ ¶§°¡ µÆ´Ù°í ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù.

[Á¸½ºÅæ ¼®ÁÂ]¡°This is about the idea that Korea brings real capability to the table and should be part of the conversation about how to respond to global issues. It also brings responsibility. So in our view, this would require that Korea be prepared to shoulder more global leadership. But I think it's time. And our report also calls for Australia to be also at it.¡±

Á¸½ºÅæ ¼®Á´ ¡°Çѱ¹ÀÌ ½ÇÁúÀûÀÎ ¿ª·®À» °¡Áö°í ÀÖ°í, µû¶ó¼­ ±¹Á¦ Çö¾È¿¡ ´ëÀÀÇÏ´Â ³íÀÇÀÇ ÀϺΰ¡ µÅ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù´Â ±¸»ó¡±À̶ó¸ç ¡°¶ÇÇÑ À̴ åÀÓ°¨À» ¿ä±¸ÇÏ´Â °ÍÀ̱⿡ Çѱ¹Àº ´õ ¸¹Àº ±¹Á¦Àû Áöµµ·ÂÀ» ¹ßÈÖÇÒ Áغñ°¡ µÅ ÀÖ¾î¾ß ÇÑ´Ù¡±°í ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù. ±×·¯¸é¼­ ¡°Çѱ¹°ú È£ÁÖ ¸ðµÎ »ó´çÇÑ ¿ª·®À» °®Ãá ÆÄÆ®³Ê·Î¼­ ±¹Á¦Àû Áöµµ ±¹°¡ ¸ðÀÓ¿¡ Âü¿©ÇØ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù°í »ý°¢ÇÑ´Ù¡±°í ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù.

Á¸½ºÅæ ¼®Á´ ¶Ç ¹ÌÇÑÀÏÀÇ ¾Èº¸°¡ ±í°Ô ¿¬°áµÅ ÀÖ¾î Çѱ¹À» ¶¼¾î³õ°í ¹ÌÀÏ µ¿¸Í °­È­¸¦ »ý°¢ÇÒ ¼ö ¾ø´Ù¸ç, Áß±¹°ú ºÏÇÑ À§ÇùÀ» °í·ÁÇÒ ¶§ ¾Æ½Ã¾Æ¸¦ ÇϳªÀÇ ÅëÇÕµÈ Àü±¸·Î »ý°¢ÇØ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù°í ¼³¸íÇß½À´Ï´Ù. ¾Æ¿ï·¯ 10ÀÏ °³ÃֵǴ ¹ÌÀÏ Á¤»óȸ´ãÀº µ¿ºÏ¾ÆÀÇ ¾ïÁö·Â°ú ¾ÈÁ¤ À¯Áö¿¡ ±â¿©ÇÑ´Ù´Â Á¡¿¡¼­ Çѱ¹¿¡µµ Áß¿äÇÑ Àǹ̸¦ °¡Áø´Ù°í ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù.

[Á¸½ºÅæ ¼®ÁÂ]¡°The significance is that it's good for deterrence and stability in Northeast Asia. A strong U.S.-Japan relationship is critical to deterrence because it sends the message to China, to North Korea, that the U.S. and Japan stand resolved to respond to two threats. And there's not a seam or difference that can be exploited. So that's, I think, the key message here. The U.S.,-Japan relationship is at a point of historic strength. That's also true of the U.S. ROK relationship. So part of the agenda, I think it will be part of the White House conversation with Kishida will be about continuing to strengthen the trilateral relationship with ROK as well.¡±

Á¸½ºÅæ ¼®Á´ ¡°°­·ÂÇÑ ¹ÌÀÏ °ü°è´Â Áß±¹°ú ºÏÇÑ¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ´ëÀÀ ÀÇÁö¸¦ º¸À̱⠶§¹®¿¡ ¾ïÁö·Â¿¡ ¸Å¿ì Áß¿äÇÏ´Ù¡±¸ç ¡°¹ÌÀÏ °£¿¡´Â ¾Ç¿ëµÉ ¼ö ÀÖ´Â Æ´À̳ª °ßÇØÂ÷°¡ ¾ø´Ù´Â Á¡ÀÌ ¹ÌÀÏ Á¤»óȸ´ãÀÇ ÇÙ½É ¸Þ½ÃÁö¡±¶ó°í ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù. ÀÌ¾î ¡°¹ÌÀÏ °ü°è´Â ÇöÀç °¡Àå °­·ÂÇÑ ¼öÁØÀÌ¸ç ¹ÌÇÑ °ü°èµµ ¸¶Âù°¡Áö¡±¶ó¸ç ¡°¹ÙÀÌµç ´ëÅë·É°ú ±â½Ã´Ù ÃѸ®°£ ¹é¾Ç°ü Á¤»óȸ´ã¿¡¼­ ¹ÌÇÑÀÏ 3±¹ °ü°è¸¦ °è¼Ó °­È­ÇÏ´Â ¹æ¾Èµµ ³íÀÇµÉ °Í¡±À̶ó°í ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù.

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